New York Giants Odell Beckham, Jr. Contract Projection – 2017

Odell Beckham, Jr. Contract Projection| New York Giants

HT: 5-11 WT: 198 Age: 24 Seasons: 3

Status: Under Contract for 2017 + Fifth-Year Option (Projected)

Odell Beckham, Jr. Scouting Report

Positives

Beckham has some of the best (and biggest) hands in the NFL. If there is one moment we all know him for, it is the catch against the Cowboys during his rookie season. He’s an excellent athlete with top-tier speed, agility, acceleration and leaping ability. Beckham Jr. is a great route runner and can beat corners in both press and off coverage. An elite playmaker after the catch, he turns slants and screens into huge chunks and touchdowns. He’s one of the best talents in the NFL.

Negatives

Beckham’s temper and tantrums have been his biggest downfall (see Panthers, 2015). Defenders can get into his head, and he seems to struggle under intense scrutiny. He’s also dealt with concentration/frustration drops.

Odell Beckham, Jr. Statistics

  • Best Season: 96 receptions, 1,450 yards, 96.7 YPG, 13 TD (2015)
  • Career Statistics: 43 games, 288 receptions, 4,122 yards, 95.9 YPG, 35 TD

Odell Beckham, Jr. Player Comparables

Odell Beckham, Jr. Statistical Comparables

Here are the annual averages for each player two years prior to signing his contract.

Stat Comparables OBJ

Odell Beckham, Jr. Contract Comparables

OBJ Contract Comparables

Odell Beckham, Jr. Leverage

Brown, Green and Jones each had one year left on their deals, with the latter two entering fifth-year option seasons. As of now, Beckham has two years remaining on his currect contract (including the option). His production through his first three seasons can stand with any wide receiver in NFL history.

Not only is he one of the top three receivers in the league, but he is also a sports icon who brings attention (and revenue) to the franchise for far more than just his play on the field. Like the diva personality or not, teams don’t let that kind of superstar go. Teams deal with it until they can be replaced, as Mike Tomlin would say.

However, the Giants do have leverage due to having Beckham under contract (including fifth-year option) for the next two seasons at under $15 million total. The deal more than likely won’t be negotiated until next offseason, in which case this projection would increase with the salary cap.

New York Giants’ Best Alternative to Long-Term Agreement

The Giants can exercise it’s fifth-year option and then franchise Beckham twice (a third tag is cost-prohibitive). This would keep him in New York for four seasons at below market value.

Odell Beckham, Jr. Reservation Price

Highest-paid wide receiver in NFL history. Point. Blank. Period.  Whether or not the case can be made for Jones or Brown as the league’s top wide receiver is irrelevant; the fact of the matter is Beckham’s got next. The upcoming DeAndre Hopkins may add another deal to consider before Beckham’s team begins negotiations.

On the open market, Beckham would almost certainly be able to find a suitor at over $20 Million per, but he definitely won’t if he signs this offseason—the first in which the team can renegotiate Beckham’s deal.

Odell Beckham, Jr. Contract Projection: 5 years, $90,000,000M; $18M AVG, $43.5M FG, $50M GTD

Odell Beckham Jr Contract Projection
Odell Beckham Jr Contract Projection

*Contract information from Over The Cap, Spotrac, Pro Football Talk, and/or other sources.
*Statistics from Pro Football Reference

**Contract structures are based on Giants’ tendencies.

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